Continuing on from Part 1, Newspoll and Essential Report both ran additional question on the budget this cycle, with the results from each pollster being broadly consistent – although each pollster gave a different set of available responses for the same basic question of “What would you prefer to see in the budget”.
First up, Newspoll:
Infrastructure trumps cash payments – which has been a common result in the polling all year. Interesting though is how a plurality of voters believe that the second round of income tax cuts – tax cuts skewed toward high income earners – should be canceled if it assists the budget bottom line. There’s something else interesting about that result which we’ll get to in a bit. Essential Report ran a vaguely similar question:
49% of voters would support an increase in taxation for high income earners under Essential Report, whereas 47% of voters would support canceling tax cuts for those same higher income earners. About half of all voters seem to support those on higher incomes taking on a greater burden to support the budget bottom line, while around 40% don’t and 10% don’t know. This probably has some import for the Coalition since last week they seemed to be trialling the line of “budget envy” – that whole “don’t divide Australia by punishing the rich” spiel.
However – and this is rather bizarre – if we look again at that Newspoll version of the question, but now break it down by voter type, we end up with something peculiar:
This looks like Newspoll and The Oz have the numbers arse about (note, they don’t – the Newspoll site is showing the same). It’s suggesting that a larger proportion of Coalition voters support the cancellation of income tax cuts compared to Labor voters! If it’s true and these were the actual results– it’s a turn up for the polling books (never seen the likes of it before) and puts half of all Coalition voters against Turnbull’s “budget envy” line last week.
Essential also asked two more questions:
It’s a bit of a mixed bag compared to our earlier answers, but still broadly consistent. The support for increasing the pension though would seem to have the strongest community support of any possible budget measure.