Last night the two agencies offering the best prices had a bit of movement towards the Coalition (making me wonder whether it was advanced knowledge of a good Coalition Newspoll result)- but that washed out of the system pretty quickly. As a result, over the last 24 hours nothing much happened on the markets – with Betfair’s move to Labor counterbalanced by Sportingbet’s move to the Coalition. Labor still holds a 73.8% implied probability of victory on Saturday.

mondaychange

bettingsidebarmonday

agprobmonday

agencypricesmonday

In 2007, the individual seat markets didn’t really get their act together properly until the last few days of the campaign – so it’s still a little bit early to be taking them too seriously at the moment. So saying, we certainly will have a good squiz at them in a few days time.

(Visited 11 times, 1 visits today)