Now that a Morgan phone poll has been released, we have a complete set of polls making up a single polling cycle for the first time this year. Since some of these buggers have spent a fair bit of time in the festive season wilderness, it’s probably worth taking a look at how they’ve all moved and over what period.
Plugging this into the trend algorithms gives us:
The current point estimates of the Pollytrend measures can be seen over in the sidebar to the right, where it shows the ALP down 2.4% on the primary since the election, the Coalition up 0.1% and the Greens staying flat. That washes out to a 1.1% two party preferred swing to the Coalition since August. Rather than navel gazing these things to death – the charts pretty much speak for themselves.
The recent slide of the Greens primary is interesting to note though.