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Possum Comitatus  — Editor of Pollytics

Possum Comitatus

Editor of Pollytics

Political Commentator and Blogger

Latest

When Wholes Are Less Than Sums of the Parts

When Wholes Are Less Than Sums of the Parts

July 1, 2013 14 Comments

Headline national two party preferred results are clouding the dynamics and reality of what is happening at the state level - where elections are won and lost

Anatomy of a Modern Campaign

Anatomy of a Modern Campaign

April 22, 2013 20 Comments

One of the biggest jokes politics plays on itself is “secrecy” – secret internal polling that apparently makes public polling wrong, secret campaign tactics that relegate Sun Tzu to the status of mere amateur, through to other various secret and supposedly profound insights into the electorate that are beyond the comprehension of normal mortals.  Cryptic […]

Megapoll – Full Breakdowns

Megapoll – Full Breakdowns

April 10, 2013 12 Comments

The data and breakdowns from the largest political poll ever conducted in Australia - all focusing on privatisation and Qld

Trends, The Horserace and random numbers

Trends, The Horserace and random numbers

November 11, 2012 11 Comments

Today we look at latest polling trends, the timing issues of the ALP carbon tax recovery and big analysis of how most of Australia’s polling and political commentary is based on random numbers.

Qld State Polling and Bad Analysis

Qld State Polling and Bad Analysis

October 1, 2012 10 Comments

How two pollsters showing identical results can deliver two completely different accounts of voter behaviour - why timeliness matters if you want to avoid bad analysis

The Primary Dynamic

The Primary Dynamic

September 29, 2012 12 Comments

The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.

Introducing the Qld Treasurer

Introducing the Qld Treasurer

July 2, 2012 33 Comments

Introducing Tim Nicholls, the man who doesn't realise he's the Treasurer

What Australians Believe

What Australians Believe

June 11, 2012 49 Comments

Australian economic beliefs and our perceptions on the role of government

The State of Play for June

The State of Play for June

June 5, 2012 18 Comments

Australian federal polling trends for June

The 2012 State of Play

The 2012 State of Play

February 9, 2012 49 Comments

Australian federal polling trends and election simulations