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The Primary Dynamic

The Primary Dynamic

Possum ComitatusSep 29, 201212 Comments

The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.

The State of Play for June

The State of Play for June

Possum ComitatusJun 5, 201218 Comments

Australian federal polling trends for June

The 2012 State of Play

The 2012 State of Play

Possum ComitatusFeb 9, 201249 Comments

Australian federal polling trends and election simulations

How Australian Pollsters lean

How Australian Pollsters lean

Possum ComitatusNov 8, 201114 Comments

Comparing Australian pollsters and their relative partisan leans

Trend Updates for November

Trend Updates for November

Possum ComitatusNov 8, 20117 Comments

Latest Australian political polling trends for October

Wipeout

Wipeout

Possum ComitatusSep 28, 201135 Comments

Australian federal election simulations and polling trends

Polling trends – Spring Session Edition

Polling trends – Spring Session Edition

Possum ComitatusAug 16, 201119 Comments

Australian polling trends for Labor, the Coalition and the Greens

Pollytrend, Election Sims and Labor's worst month in government

Pollytrend, Election Sims and Labor's worst month in government

Possum ComitatusJul 2, 201124 Comments

Being the end of June, it’s time to crank up the stats and run our quarterly election simulations based on polling aggregates of the last 3 months from all the pollsters that provide

New Trends and Gender Shifts

New Trends and Gender Shifts

Possum ComitatusJun 5, 201115 Comments

Plugging all the new polling data of late into our trend system, we find that the medium term deterioration in the Labor government’s two party preferred vote has stabilised out aroun

First Election Simulation for 2011

First Election Simulation for 2011

Possum ComitatusApr 1, 201121 Comments

With the Newspoll quarterly release this week, we now have enough data to aggregate the pollsters together, break the aggregated sample down into state based components and run our firs

https://www.crikey.com.au/2011/04/01/first-election-simulation-for-2011/ == https://www.crikey.com.au/free-trial/==https://www.crikey.com.au/subscribe/

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