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The Primary Dynamic
Possum ComitatusSep 29, 201212 Comments
The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.
The State of Play for June
Possum ComitatusJun 5, 201218 Comments
Australian federal polling trends for June
The 2012 State of Play
Possum ComitatusFeb 9, 201249 Comments
Australian federal polling trends and election simulations
How Australian Pollsters lean
Possum ComitatusNov 8, 201114 Comments
Comparing Australian pollsters and their relative partisan leans
Trend Updates for November
Possum ComitatusNov 8, 20117 Comments
Latest Australian political polling trends for October
Wipeout
Possum ComitatusSep 28, 201135 Comments
Australian federal election simulations and polling trends
Polling trends – Spring Session Edition
Possum ComitatusAug 16, 201119 Comments
Australian polling trends for Labor, the Coalition and the Greens
Pollytrend, Election Sims and Labor's worst month in government
Possum ComitatusJul 2, 201124 Comments
Being the end of June, it’s time to crank up the stats and run our quarterly election simulations based on polling aggregates of the last 3 months from all the pollsters that provide
New Trends and Gender Shifts
Possum ComitatusJun 5, 201115 Comments
Plugging all the new polling data of late into our trend system, we find that the medium term deterioration in the Labor government’s two party preferred vote has stabilised out aroun
First Election Simulation for 2011
Possum ComitatusApr 1, 201121 Comments
With the Newspoll quarterly release this week, we now have enough data to aggregate the pollsters together, break the aggregated sample down into state based components and run our firs