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The Primary Dynamic

The Primary Dynamic

The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.

The CSIRO gets HIP to debunking media hysteria

The CSIRO gets HIP to debunking media hysteria

The CSIRO last week released what was effectively a statistical analysis of the reality surrounding large parts of the infamous Home Insulation Program – or for those of you not familiar with this particular policy, you may have heard about it via it’s common alternative name in the mainstream media, the “OMG, PETER GARRETT IS […]

Floods, prices and mortality

Floods, prices and mortality

With the flood waters receding in Queensland – giving us our first real look at the size of the damage involved – it might be worth going back and having a bit of a squiz at what happened on the economic front immediately following the last big South East Qld flood drama in January 1974. […]

What size the ALP vote hit from closing rolls early?

What size the ALP vote hit from closing rolls early?

When Julia Gillard announced August 21 as the election date rather than August 28, one of the consequences was that the electoral roll closed a week earlier than it ordinarily could have – providing very little time for younger voters to get themselves on the roll. As we know, younger voters – especially the 18-24’s […]

How profitable is mining – Part 2

How profitable is mining – Part 2

Yesterday we had a quick squiz at the profitability of the Australian mining industry compared to both other domestic industries as well as the world’s largest 40 mining companies. Today, it’s worth a taking a closer look at how mining industry profitability in Australia plays out on the basis of business size as well as […]

How profitable is mining?

How profitable is mining?

According to the ABS, very profitable. At the end of last month (May 28), the ABS published their annual “Australian Industry” release which looked at a wide array of comparative industry performance measures for the Australian economy in the 2008/09 financial year. The results for mining are probably worth going over considering the hyperbole venting […]

How much do we drink?

How much do we drink?

A fair bit apparently. Today the ABS released an interesting little chunk of stats on Australian alcohol consumption, estimating that in the year ending June 2009 we consumed over 1.8 billion litres of beer and over 495 million litres of wine. Hiccup Not only did the ABS measure beer and wine, but also spirits and […]

Perspective

Perspective

In 2008, Australia had 161 boat people arrive. In 2008, Australia had 4750 applications for asylum submitted. In 2008, France, the UK and Italy combined had 96,870 applications for asylum submitted. In 2008, 51 industrialised countries participating in the UNHCR statistics program had

Are confident consumers good for the government?

Are confident consumers good for the government?

This is an expanded version of something I wrote for the Crikey daily mail last week. Does increasing consumer confidence boost the government vote? Orthodox wisdom would have us “yes” – good consumers are good government voters. If people are happy with their economic lot, if they’re happy with their economic expectations about the future, […]

Did the insulation program actually reduce fire risk?

Did the insulation program actually reduce fire risk?

Has the Garrett insulation scheme actually reduced the rate of installation caused fires? It’s a strange thing to say – well, it’s strange if you don’t think about it too hard. What we often forget is that Garrett’s insulation program dramatically increased standards in an industry where there were previously very few. First off, some […]