Politics, elections and piffle plinking
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Analysing the Poll Bias: Morgan vs. Newspoll Part I
Possum ComitatusJul 6, 2007
There’s a lot of Hoo Har in the punditry over the differences between Morgan and Newspoll results. So let’s take an actual look at the differences between the t
Modelling the Howard Governments Primary Vote Swing
Possum ComitatusJul 3, 2007
The above graph measures the primary vote swing of the How
IPDI and the Primary Vote Redux.
Possum ComitatusJun 30, 2007
Over in The Oz, George Megalogenis writes, “THE existential divide between real and imagined financial stress can decide the coming election. Well-off Australian
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Determining the Swinging Voter and Their Behaviour
Possum ComitatusJun 28, 2007
If we look at the primary votes of the parties over the last 20 years, it becomes pretty clear that there are a certain amount of voters that support a given party
Time Trends and Primary Votes
Possum ComitatusJun 26, 2007
If we look at the Newspoll primary vote level of the three political b
Primary Vote movements and Shocks 1999-2007
Possum ComitatusJun 22, 2007
The above graph is fairly self explanatory. On the left hand s
Leader Dissatisfaction and the Minor Party/Undecided Vote.
Possum ComitatusJun 22, 2007
This caught my eye the other day. The red line is the net leader dissati