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Analysing the Poll Bias: Morgan vs. Newspoll Part I

Possum ComitatusJul 6, 2007

There’s a lot of Hoo Har in the punditry over the differences between Morgan and Newspoll results. So let’s take an actual look at the differences between the t

Modelling the Howard Governments Primary Vote Swing

Modelling the Howard Governments Primary Vote Swing

Possum ComitatusJul 3, 2007

The above graph measures the primary vote swing of the How

IPDI and the Primary Vote Redux.

Possum ComitatusJun 30, 2007

Over in The Oz, George Megalogenis writes, “THE existential divide between real and imagined financial stress can decide the coming election. Well-off Australian

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Politics, elections and piffle plinking

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Determining the Swinging Voter and Their Behaviour

Determining the Swinging Voter and Their Behaviour

Possum ComitatusJun 28, 2007

If we look at the primary votes of the parties over the last 20 years, it becomes pretty clear that there are a certain amount of voters that support a given party

Time Trends and Primary Votes

Possum ComitatusJun 26, 2007

If we look at the Newspoll primary vote level of the three political b

Primary Vote movements and Shocks 1999-2007

Primary Vote movements and Shocks 1999-2007

Possum ComitatusJun 22, 2007

The above graph is fairly self explanatory. On the left hand s

How Important was the Ryan By-election?

Possum ComitatusJun 22, 2007

I think that says it all.

Leader Dissatisfaction and the Minor Party/Undecided Vote.

Possum ComitatusJun 22, 2007

This caught my eye the other day. The red line is the net leader dissati

Election Prediction Model 1 Update

Possum ComitatusJun 21, 2007

Here’s

ALP Victory Index Update

Possum ComitatusJun 21, 2007

Heres

https://www.crikey.com.au/2007/06/21/alp-victory-index-update/ == https://www.crikey.com.au/free-trial/==https://www.crikey.com.au/subscribe/

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