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Topic: asylum seekers
Newspoll and more gender gaps

Newspoll and more gender gaps

There’s three polls to report on today, the “bombshell” Galaxy poll run on the Nine News last night (bit of a fizzer), today’s Newspoll (via The Oz – tables here) and an Essential Report we’ll have this afternoon. The big shock is Newspoll, coming in with the primaries running 42 (steady), 38 (down 2) to […]

Nielsen, Galaxy and the Gender Gap

Nielsen, Galaxy and the Gender Gap

Today we have two new polls published – Nielsen via Fairfax (demographic tables here) and Galaxy via the News Ltd tabloids. The vote estimates, sample sizes, MoE’s and changes since the last respective polls (taken immediately after the Gillard ascension) come in like this – with Nielsen data to a decimal place. Nielsen and Galaxy […]

What would a proper regional solution look like?

What would a proper regional solution look like?

There was a lot of predictability in the responses to yesterday’s Gillard speech and policy proposals on asylum seekers, at least as far as the broader commentariat were concerned – the Labor leaners loved it,  the Green left saw dog-whistles, while the wingnuts created yet another acute shortage of tin foil in supermarkets around the […]

Essential Report – our ignorance on asylum seeker numbers

Essential Report – our ignorance on asylum seeker numbers

This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running Coalition down 1 to 40, ALP down 2 to 37, washing out into a two party preferred of 52/48 to Labor – a one point Labor gain since last week. The Greens are on 12 (up 3) while the broad Others are steady on 10. […]

Nielsen -Offshore processing and the RSPT

Nielsen -Offshore processing and the RSPT

Nielsen’s additional questions this month focused on asylum seekers and the RSPT. Looking at RSPT first, Nielsen asked: The government has announced it will introduce a resource super profits tax. Do you support or oppose a tax on the ‘super profits’ of mining companies? Is that strongly support / support / oppose / strongly oppose? […]

Who do you think you are kidding Mr Abbott

Who do you think you are kidding Mr Abbott

The Libs latest ad: [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjDWbFm7S08[/youtube] Love the red arrows, except who didnt instantly think of this? [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfQwHb1pWPE[/youtube] Meanwhile, the Australian Parliamentary Library has just released a paper titled “Asylum seekers and refugees: what are the facts?” Unsurprisingly, there’s not a red arrow to be seen. But this isn’t about facts, is it Tone.

Morgan Polls – Migration and Partisan Stereotypes

Morgan Polls – Migration and Partisan Stereotypes

UPDATE: Morgan comes in with the primaries running 48 (up 3.5) / 36.5 (down 0.5) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 58/42 the same way – a 1.5% gain to Labor since last Morgan face to face poll. Greens are on 8.5 (down 2.5) while the broad others are on 7 […]

Essential Report – House Prices Edition

Essential Report – House Prices Edition

This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running 43/39 to Labor (unchanged), washing out into a two party preferred of 54/46 the same way – again, unchanged from last week. The Greens were up 1 to 10 while the broad “Others” were steady on 9 (with rounding errors adding everything up to 101%). […]

Perspective

Perspective

In 2008, Australia had 161 boat people arrive. In 2008, Australia had 4750 applications for asylum submitted. In 2008, France, the UK and Italy combined had 96,870 applications for asylum submitted. In 2008, 51 industrialised countries participating in the UNHCR statistics program had

The polling isn’t as exciting as it looks

The polling isn’t as exciting as it looks

With pollster and electorate volatility apparently running rampant over the last few weeks, it’s worth taking a closer look at exactly what went on. If we chart the first differences of each pollster since August – the amount that the two party preferred estimate has changed since the previous poll of that pollster – we […]