Possum ComitatusSep 29, 201212 Comments
The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.
Possum ComitatusFeb 9, 201249 Comments
Australian federal polling trends and election simulations
Possum ComitatusAug 16, 201119 Comments
Australian polling trends for Labor, the Coalition and the Greens
Possum ComitatusJul 2, 201124 Comments
Being the end of June, it’s time to crank up the stats and run our quarterly election simulations based on polling aggregates of the last 3 months from all the pollsters that provide
Possum ComitatusJun 5, 201115 Comments
Plugging all the new polling data of late into our trend system, we find that the medium term deterioration in the Labor government’s two party preferred vote has stabilised out aroun
Possum ComitatusApr 1, 201121 Comments
With the Newspoll quarterly release this week, we now have enough data to aggregate the pollsters together, break the aggregated sample down into state based components and run our firs
Possum ComitatusMar 22, 201118 Comments
Time for a polling trends update. First up, the broad sweep. Plugging all the latest polling data fit to print into our system, this is how the two party preferred Pollytrend has cha
Possum ComitatusFeb 25, 201118 Comments
Now that a Morgan phone poll has been released, we have a complete set of polls making up a single polling cycle for the first time this year. Since some of these buggers have spent a
Possum ComitatusFeb 12, 201131 Comments
“The time has come”, the Walrus said, “to talk of many things” – but we’ll start with our new polling trend measures. You may remember that last term we
Possum ComitatusDec 21, 201032 Comments
Last month, the Menzies Centre for Health Policy released a health survey where they teamed up with
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