February, 2010

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Abbott vs. Latham Polling Deathmatch

, Feb 03, 2010

A few of you have asked about polling comparisons between the early stages of the Latham and Abbott leaderships. While there’s certainly some similarities in the way that each leader had an impact on the polling metrics in their first few poll outings, there’s some considerable differences between the two when it comes to the […]
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ANU Poll – Public Perceptions of Rural Issues

, Nov 20, 2009

The Australian National University has released their latest ANU Poll, this quarter giving it a rural flavour by focusing questions on issues related to rural and regional Australia. It’s a phone poll of 1200, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.8% mark. You can read the full results in either a report […]
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Newspoll Tuesday – More pain for Malcolm

, Oct 20, 2009

Newspoll Tuesday via The Oz rolls around again, this time with the primaries running 48 (up 1) / 34 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – a one point gain over last week’s special Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10, while the broad “Others” […]
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Nielsen – Not Happy Jan Edition

, Aug 17, 2009

Fairfax bring us today’s Nielsen poll showing the primaries running 46 (steady) / 38 (up 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 (down 2) the same way. This came from a sample of 1400, giving is an MoE that maxes out around the 2.6% mark. The Greens come in on […]
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The Coalition Anxiety Thermometer

, Jul 13, 2009

We’ve all heard of the Electoral Pendulum – where seats are sorted from top to bottom according to their two party preferred margin. The beauty of the pendulum is that it provides an excellent approximation of how many seats would change hands for any given two party preferred swing – something that Antony Green’s spiffy […]

First signs of an ALP economic good news boost.

, Jun 12, 2009

In what’s turning out to be a bit of a Roy Morgan day, they’ve released another telephone poll taken over the period of June 10/11 – although there’s no link yet except the poll appearing on their trends page. It has the primaries running 47.5 (up 4.5) / 37 (down 2.5) to Labor, washing out […]
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Essential Report – Turnbull’s Inroads Edition

, Jun 01, 2009

This week’s Essential Report comes in with primaries running 45 (down 4) /39 (up 4) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 55/45 the same way – a 4 point drop from last week. This comes from a rolling two week sample of 1977, giving us an MoE of… well, figure it […]
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The Australian Centre Left Majority

, May 27, 2009

If we have a look back in the polling rear view mirror, one of the things that stand out is the consistency of the gap between each of the major party primary vote estimates and their respective two party preferred estimates. To highlight, we’ll run a couple of charts using all of the polls taken […]
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Ooooh, a close one.

, May 18, 2009

Nielsen came out this morning in Fairfax showing a primary vote running to Labor 44/43, for a two party preferred of 53/47. That’s quite a change since the last Nielsen in March ago which ran 47/37 to Labor for a TPP of 58/42. The poll comes from a sample size of 1400, giving an MoE […]

Recent history of climate change polling

, May 12, 2009

Yesterday in comments, Oz asked about the recent history of polling on climate change by Essential Report. There’s been just over 20 questions going back to July last year – so there’s quite a bit of info. Most of the Essential climate change polling isn’t in the form of some standard, regularly repeated set of […]