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Topic: coalition demographic train wreck
Gen Blue – Coalition Mortality and Electoral Decline

Gen Blue – Coalition Mortality and Electoral Decline

The near conclusion of the long running saga called the Coalition’s Demographic Train Wreck. After spending the last year and a half ferreting out every bit of 2007 election polling I could get my hands on, I think we might have – finally – a good set of estimates for the two party preferred vote […]

It’s time to rethink political demographics – Part 2

It’s time to rethink political demographics – Part 2

Continuing on from Part 1 (which you’ll really need to read before chewing on this), today we’ll look at an interesting demographic play with young families and the ALP vote at the last election. The standard narrative has it that Labor did well with young families – those Howard battlers out in the urban boonies […]

It’s time to rethink political demographics – Part 1

It’s time to rethink political demographics – Part 1

The Parliamentary Library released an interesting little bit of stuff the other day, Population change in Commonwealth electoral divisions, 2006 to 2007. What makes this interesting is the way the data plays out with the data from the 2007 Election. First up let’s do a chart (!!); we’ll plot the ALP TPP swing by electorate […]