election simulation
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The 2012 State of Play
Possum ComitatusFeb 9, 201249 Comments
Australian federal polling trends and election simulations
Wipeout
Possum ComitatusSep 28, 201135 Comments
Australian federal election simulations and polling trends
Pollytrend, Election Sims and Labor's worst month in government
Possum ComitatusJul 2, 201124 Comments
Being the end of June, it’s time to crank up the stats and run our quarterly election simulations based on polling aggregates of the last 3 months from all the pollsters that provide
First Election Simulation for 2011
Possum ComitatusApr 1, 201121 Comments
With the Newspoll quarterly release this week, we now have enough data to aggregate the pollsters together, break the aggregated sample down into state based components and run our firs
New Election Simulation.
Possum ComitatusAug 18, 201043 Comments
With today’s combined two week Newspoll breakdown released over at The Oz, we can aggregate the results with the last two Nielsens and the
First campaign election simulation
Possum ComitatusAug 4, 201039 Comments
With the Newspoll release today of a slightly smaller than usual demographic breakdown (n=3437 rather than the usual n=5500+), we can combine them up with the last 2 Nielsen polls and r
Nerdy Sunday – Betting Markets Edition
Possum ComitatusJul 11, 20104 Comments
This week we saw three betting agencies open up individual seat markets for the federal election. We looked at one of those on Friday (Betfair), so today we’ll take a squiz at the oth
The Post Spill Polling Roundup
Possum ComitatusJun 29, 201034 Comments
Since our last roundup, we've had another Galaxy, a Newspoll and an Essential Report come into the field. The Galaxy was taken on June 25, 1 day after their first poll and showing ident
The electoral reality of Rudd's last days.
Possum ComitatusJun 28, 201037 Comments
Hidden among the events of Thursday’s spill was Newspoll’s quarterl
Election Simulation - Quarter 1 2010
Possum ComitatusApr 9, 20109 Comments
With Newspoll having released its quarterly polling breakdowns, we can now combine them with the Nielsen data for the last three months and run our election simulation - giving us the