Menu
Scroll to top
Topic: electoral demography
Class, voting and broad left demography

Class, voting and broad left demography

One of the most historically accurate predictors of the way people vote in Australian elections has always been the notion of “class”. At its most reductionist, working class voters generally support the ALP, owners of capital and employers generally support the Liberal Party and in the post-war years, rural Australia has generally supported anti-Labor candidates […]

Unemployment by Electorate – Part 2

Unemployment by Electorate – Part 2

Just a quick update from Friday’s post on unemployment by electorate – and for those reading this that haven’t seen the previous post, it’s probably worth having a squiz to know what’s going on. I’ve redone the maps of Adelaide, Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne regions in a much easier to understand format. The cross-hatched areas […]

The Greens and Electoral Roll Expansion

The Greens and Electoral Roll Expansion

When the ALP recently floated the idea of allowing 16 and 17 year olds to vote, the thing that struck me was, firstly, how so many Greens were in favour of the idea and secondly, how so many Libs opposed it. Being a cynic and believing that even with the cute and cuddly Greens, 90% […]

Gen Blue – Coalition Mortality and Electoral Decline

Gen Blue – Coalition Mortality and Electoral Decline

The near conclusion of the long running saga called the Coalition’s Demographic Train Wreck. After spending the last year and a half ferreting out every bit of 2007 election polling I could get my hands on, I think we might have – finally – a good set of estimates for the two party preferred vote […]

150K Thresholds – the electoral demography.

150K Thresholds – the electoral demography.

This was the article I had in the Crikey mail earlier today: In terms of electoral demography — the who lives where, earning what, and how they vote, framework — the two big issues coming out of the budget are the $150,000 household income threshold being the primary means testing weapon on the one hand, and the increase in […]

Spiffy Toys – Infographic Electoral Demography

Spiffy Toys – Infographic Electoral Demography

Some of you may have been wondering why the electoral demographic profiles haven’t been updated of late. The answer is pretty simple, I couldn’t be bothered to create 150 separate posts, nor do the tedious charting work that went into them. So instead of going down that silly route, I found a much better way. […]

Total Stimulus – Electoral Effects

Total Stimulus – Electoral Effects

Yesterday we had a quick squiz at the fiscal side of the stimulus package in terms of which electorates would be expected to get the largest shares of the stimulus pie – those with high proportions of Family Tax Benefit recipients on the one hand and those seats with high proportions of school kids on […]

The Liberal Party Left Flank

The Liberal Party Left Flank

I often bang on incessantly about the dubious sustainability of the twin support bases of the Coalition – the social conservative, big government demographic on the one hand and the socially progressive, smallish government demographic on the other. While neither of these two groups are particularly large in the broader electoral scheme of things, they […]

Seat of the Day: Bruce

Seat of the Day: Bruce

The last of the 19 “B” seats brings us to the Victorian outer metro seat of Bruce. 2007 Election Result and Two Party Preferred History Party LP ALP GRN NP FFP OTH 07 Primary 37.57 51.85 5.09 0 2.85 2.6 Age Profile, Family Composition, Housing and Migration

Seat of the Day: Brisbane

Seat of the Day: Brisbane

Today’s seat of the day is the inner metro and rather interesting QLD seat of Brisbane. 2007 Election Result and Two Party Preferred History Party LP ALP GRN NP FFP OTH 07 Primary 39.4 45.04 11.8 0 1.41 2.4 Age Profile, Family Composition, Housing and Migration