Menu
Scroll to top
Topic: leadership
The Primary Dynamic

The Primary Dynamic

The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.

How the mighty fell

How the mighty fell

One of the more astonishing things about the federal election result is how the ALP managed to destroy such an enormous amount of public goodwill over such a relatively small time frame. To really highlight the drama of it all, it’s worth looking at a couple of charts. Firstly, let’s take every two party preferred […]

Spill

Spill

What a very odd 24 hours. Today’s Newspoll quarterly shows that the ALP would have won around 81 seats to 66 were an election held during the last three months – a period where Labor polled their lowest in Newspoll in 4 years. Kevin Rudd is now toast, as the ALP has no choice but […]

Essential Report – Leaders Leaders Leaders Edition

Essential Report – Leaders Leaders Leaders Edition

This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries showing the Coalition down 1 to 40, the ALP up 3 to 38, the Greens down 3 to 11 and the broad “Others” up 1 to 10. This washes out into a two party preferred of 52/48 to Labor, a one point gain to the red […]

Essential Report – our ignorance on asylum seeker numbers

Essential Report – our ignorance on asylum seeker numbers

This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running Coalition down 1 to 40, ALP down 2 to 37, washing out into a two party preferred of 52/48 to Labor – a one point Labor gain since last week. The Greens are on 12 (up 3) while the broad Others are steady on 10. […]

Leaders attributes and the vote

Leaders attributes and the vote

As you may remember, Essential Report runs a semi-regular set of questions that measure public perceptions on various attributes of political leaders – from positive attributes like Trust and Visionary through to negative attributes like Arrogant and Superficial. Over the last two and a half years, the following question has been asked 6 times about […]

Leadership Polling – a comprehensive rundown

Leadership Polling – a comprehensive rundown

Yesterday both Galaxy and Newspoll released polling on leadership ratings of a Rudd/Gillard head-to-head, while Morgan asked the same with a phone poll late last week. Looking at the three questions, Galaxy asked: Which of the two Labor politicians, Kevin Rudd or Julia Gillard, do you believe would be the best choice to be leader […]

Essential Report Abbott vs. Rudd

Essential Report Abbott vs. Rudd

The first poll to measure Abbott and Rudd head to head on political qualities is Essential Report, this week coming in with the primaries running 46 (down 1) / 34 (down 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 58/42 the same way – steady from last week. The Greens are on […]

Turnbull to Abbott – You Bleeping Bleeper that Bleeps.

Turnbull to Abbott – You Bleeping Bleeper that Bleeps.

Turnbull just wrote a post over on his blog which will cause a bit of a shitstorm – effectively accusing Tony Abbott of deliberately lying to the public, among a great many other things. The title: “Time for some straight talking on climate change” sets the scene. Last week we thought that the Liberal Party […]

Abbott – The Numbers Point to Grief

Abbott – The Numbers Point to Grief

This vote won’t resolve the Liberal Party conflict, it will only send it into a sequel. The vote for the spill had 82 people vote, which was passed 48/34. This caused a three way leadership race between Turnbull, Abbott and Hockey where 84 people voted – Turnbull getting 26 votes, Abbott getting 35 votes and […]