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Topic: morgan
How Australian Pollsters lean

How Australian Pollsters lean

Comparing Australian pollsters and their relative partisan leans

The trends for February’s ends

The trends for February’s ends

Now that a Morgan phone poll has been released, we have a complete set of polls making up a single polling cycle for the first time this year.  Since some of these buggers have spent a fair bit of time in the festive season wilderness, it’s probably worth taking a look at how they’ve all […]

The Polls of Election Day

The Polls of Election Day

A big wad of new polling comes in today as all the pollsters vie for bragging rights of being the most accurate – which is pretty funny in itself since the pollster that ultimately ends up being closest to the actual election result does so purely through chance and chance alone. But far from be […]

Leadership Polling – a comprehensive rundown

Leadership Polling – a comprehensive rundown

Yesterday both Galaxy and Newspoll released polling on leadership ratings of a Rudd/Gillard head-to-head, while Morgan asked the same with a phone poll late last week. Looking at the three questions, Galaxy asked: Which of the two Labor politicians, Kevin Rudd or Julia Gillard, do you believe would be the best choice to be leader […]

Morgan Polls – Migration and Partisan Stereotypes

Morgan Polls – Migration and Partisan Stereotypes

UPDATE: Morgan comes in with the primaries running 48 (up 3.5) / 36.5 (down 0.5) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 58/42 the same way – a 1.5% gain to Labor since last Morgan face to face poll. Greens are on 8.5 (down 2.5) while the broad others are on 7 […]

Morgan Polls and Turning Points

Morgan Polls and Turning Points

This week’s Morgan face-to-face poll comes in with the primaries running 44.5 (down 0.5)/ 37 (down 1.5) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56.5/43.5 the same way – a one point gain to Labor since the last poll. The Greens are on 11 (up 2.5) while the broad “Others” are on […]

A closer look at the Green vote

A closer look at the Green vote

From comments yesterday, it might be a good time to have a bit of a squiz at how the Greens have been performing in the vote estimates over the last 12 months. The common theme with the Greens has been on how their vote has been growing substantially over recent times, and while that is […]

Morgan – preference flow edition.

Morgan – preference flow edition.

Morgan comes a day early this week (good thing too, let’s hope it’s a new 2010 feature) with a face to face poll showing the primaries running 47.5 (up 2) / 35.5 (down 1.5) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of either 58.5/41.5 (up 1.5 to Labor) if we use the preference […]

When climate change scepticism changes political opinion

When climate change scepticism changes political opinion

Blue_green in comments in the CPRS polling thread asked: Possum- It would be interesting if you could plot a correlation between ‘against cprs’ and ‘global warming is exaggerated’ for each demographic. I wonder if they are consistent or if some just want another climate policy (just not the CPRS). That is a mighty fine idea! […]

Public Opinion, Global Warming and the CPRS

Public Opinion, Global Warming and the CPRS

Morgan recently released a new poll on their global warming beliefs and CPRS approval series that they’ve been running regularly of late. These polls are phone polls with relatively small sample sizes running between the late 500’s and a 1000 or so, making the MoE’s on them max out between 3 and 5%. As a […]