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Topic: risk
Insulation Fire Risk – The data is in

Insulation Fire Risk – The data is in

Back in February of this year when a debate popped up in the media over the insulation program – if one loosely defines “debate” as screeching “OMG!! YOUR HOUSES ARE ALL GOING TO BURN DOWN”  – we thought that it might be worthwhile for someone to take their underpants off their head and have a […]

Seats at Risk – Quarter 4 2009

Seats at Risk – Quarter 4 2009

Ever wonder how ‘at risk’ your local member might be? Now that we have the full spectrum of quarterly polling data from Newspoll and Nielsen, not only can we run election simulations, but we can also use those simulation results to take a closer look at which seats would have been most likely to fall […]

The Perils of Liberal Party Risk

The Perils of Liberal Party Risk

Let’s say you had $100 and circumstances arose where you were forced to invest that money into one of two propositions: The first, a risky strategy where you have a 10% probability of getting a $200 return, but where you also have a 90% probability of getting back only half of your initial $100 investment. […]