We’d like to welcome you to INQ, Crikey’s ambitious new inquiry journalism initiative. Starting June 24, INQ investigative reporting — lifting the rocks, connecting the dots, following the money trail and exposing misuse of power — will appear regularly in Crikey.
We look forward to sharing this exciting new phase with you.
Tamsin Creed, Publisher
Australian polling trends for Labor, the Coalition and the Greens
With the Newspoll quarterly release this week, we now have enough data to aggregate the pollsters together, break the aggregated sample down into state based components and run our first election simulation for 2011. Before we start though, it’s worth running though an updated Pollytrend to show how the polls have moved over the January […]
Over the next 12 months, we’ll have more polls on pricing carbon than we can poke a stick at – some more valuable than others – so it’s probably worth taking a squiz at where public views of carbon pricing sit at the starting gates of what will probably be a bit of a rollercoaster […]
“The time has come”, the Walrus said, “to talk of many things” – but we’ll start with our new polling trend measures. You may remember that last term we had two trend measures – the all pollster trend (which was an aggregation of the results of every pollster) and our phone pollster trend (which did […]
One of the more astonishing things about the federal election result is how the ALP managed to destroy such an enormous amount of public goodwill over such a relatively small time frame. To really highlight the drama of it all, it’s worth looking at a couple of charts. Firstly, let’s take every two party preferred […]
Last night saw a joint Sky News/News Ltd tabloid “town hall” style political shindig at the Rooty Hill RSL Club – where Abbott and Gillard stated their case for election and answered questions from the floor. There was a lot of debate about the bias or otherwise of the audience, where they appeared much tougher […]
This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running 42/41 to the Coalition, washing out into a two party preferred of 52/48 to Labor. That’s a three point gain to the Coalition and a 1 point gain to Labor on the primaries over the last week, making for a Greens vote declining from 13 […]
Newspoll (via The Oz) and Galaxy (via the News Ltd tabloids) come in today with identical primaries running 42/38 to the Coalition – but with Newspoll having the ALP leading on the two party preferred by 52/48 while Galaxy has it at 51/49 – suggesting that both pollsters got very close to the 51.5 mark […]
This brisk Saturday morning brings us a Nielsen poll via the Fairfax press running from a sample of 1369, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.6% mark – the vote estimates, their change since last week’s Nielsen and the pref flows – broken down into gender and geography to the usual decimal […]