In the 12 months to the end of October the world’s average temperature measured by NASA was 0.65 degrees Centigrade warmer than the average calculated between 1951 and 1980.

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Whether the calendar year 2010 ends up as the warmest year on record is still to be decided but the evidence of an increasingly warmer world continues to mount.

On Crikey’s The Stump blog we are now posting regularly updated figures on what the Intrade prediction market thinks will be the final temperature result for this year and next. The current probability of 2010 being the hottest year since measurements were taken is assessed at 67%.

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