2017 in review

January 2, 2018 3

A review of the big elections of the last year and the current state of the "populist" threat.

Always wait for the postals

October 17, 2017

Austria's far right does badly on postal votes, shifting the atmospherics a bit from the way they looked on election night.

Catalonia’s descent into madness

October 3, 2017 7

By forcibly attempting to prevent a vote on Catalan independence, the Spanish government plays into the nationalists' hands.

Merkel winner or Merkel loser?

September 26, 2017 1

Why I think Angela Merkel's performance on Sunday was rather better than you'd think from the newspaper headlines.

The war against Arab democracy

July 3, 2017 3

The conflict with Qatar is fundamentally about the possibility of democracy in the Arab world. That's why Saudi and Trumpian autocrats are on the same side.

Two follow-up notes about France

April 21, 2017 2

Two additional comments to make following this morning's post on France: one on betting odds and the other on the dilemma of the Australian right.

And still there were four …

April 21, 2017

France goes to the polls on Sunday, in an election in which Emmanuel Macron looks set to become the first centrist president since Valéry Giscard d'Estaing.

Tribalism trumps policy at News Corp

April 17, 2017 4

A News Corp writer endorses the National Front. How many more will follow him?

Field set in France

March 20, 2017

The candidates are all official now for the French presidential election. Emmanuel Macron, the luckiest man in Europe, is yet to slip up.

Election preview: Netherlands

March 15, 2017

Tonight's Dutch election is a test of the far right's support, but a much less significant one than media hype would suggest.